Status of Autonomous Driving, roadmap & strategy of leading OEMs
When will automated driving tech & regulation converge to allow the first L3 & L4 cars to hit the road? How do leading carmakers plan to commercialize automated driving? We examine the current & future status of automated vehicle deployment until 2025 and analyze the strategy & technological roadmaps of 34 leading carmakers to commercialize automated driving for passenger cars.
What this report delivers
This report focuses on leading car manufacturers’ ADAS&AD portfolio , strategies and business models to transition towards full automation and self-driving cars.
Moreover, it examines the regulatory landscape and other technical challenges and their implications on deployment of higher level of vehicle autonomy.
Finally, we provide a technological roadmap for the introduction of L2-4 by leading OEM and a penetration forecast of cars equipped with different levels of autonomy until 2025.
Number of Pages: 106
Number of Tables: 42
Number of Figures: 85
Learn about the status of vehicle automation between 2016 and 2018:
-What is the availability of key ADAS features, such as AEB, TSR, ACC, LKA, TJA, in leading
carmakers in Europe, US and China? We provide in-depth segmentation by SAE Level; o What is the penetration rate of SAE Level 0, 1 and 2 in European car sales?
-Which OEMs lead L2 deployment in 2017-18 and why?
-What changes in 2019-20 in terms of deployment of L2 and L3?
Understand the regulatory and engineering challenges carmakers face for the deployment of a higher level of vehicle autonomy:
-What is the status of Autonomous Driving regulation in major car markets?
-What are the differences in the legal and regulatory framework in Europe and the United States and how this will affect L3-5 deployment?-Which geography presents the most favourable environment for deployment of Level 3?
-What breakthroughs are required in the area of SW/HW and validation for L3-4?
Read how carmakers, Tier-1s and new-entrants, including tech giants Apple and Google (Waymo), plan to overcome the challenges and commercialize autonomous driving
-How do leading OEMs plan to achieve L4/5 capabilities and when?
-OEM strategy, new business models and key collaborations
-Learn why leading Tier-1s are well positioned to monetize ADAS growth
Who will lead and who will follow in the autonomous vehicle race until 2025?
-Discover when leading carmakers will launch capabilities of L2, L3, L4 and L5 segmented into Driving (L2-TJA vs L3-TJP) and Parking features (e.g. L2-Self Park, L4-Valet Parking)
-What are the trends by ADAS levels in Top Premium OEMs’ model range during 2016-21? o Learn about the penetration of different levels of autonomy in European car sales in 2021
-Benchmark competition: strengths and weaknesses of ADAS&AD product portfolio,
suppliers and competitiveness
Table of contents
1. The status of Automated Driving deployment by Level in 2016-18 (21 pages)
1.1. Democratization of driver assistance systems accelerates fast but techno-economic deployment challenges persist
1.2. Commercialization status of SAE Level 2 in Europe 2016-18: TJA, SP and RP availability in leading OEMs
1.3. SAE Level 1 status in Europe in 2016-18: ACC, AEB CUI, PA & LKA availability in OEMs
1.4. Level 0 penetration in Europe in 2016-18: BSM, DDM, FCW, LDW, and TSR
1.5. Major Automated Driving & AMoD pilots in 2019-20: who tests what and where
1.6. The implications of Level 3-Conditionally automated driving to HMI
2. Regulatory, engineering and other challenges for L3-5 deployment (17 pages)
2.1. Read why regulation challenges Autonomous Driving deployment
2.2. Overview of AD regulatory & legal status in key geographies in 2018
2.3. The amendment of Reg.79-Steering equipment will allow L3 deployment in Europe
2.4. The USA has opened up the road to Highly Autonomous Vehicles 2.4.1. StateofAVtestingintheUnitedStatesin2016/17
2.6. The impact of AD regulation on L3 deployment
2.7. TechnicalchallengesfordeploymentandotherkeyfactorsaffectingADadoption 2.8. Liability in L3 and the role of Event Data Recorders for AD
2.9. Vehicle Cybersecurity becomes a top priority for carmakers
OEM & Tier-1 strategies to commercialize Automated Driving (5 pages)
3.1. Incremental vs skip approach to reach Highly automated driving
3.2. Building your own ADS platform vs collaboration
4. From Assisted to Autonomous: L2-4 roadmap from leading OEMs (19 pages)
4.1. Overview of L2-L4 Driving and Parking roadmap by OEM at earliest implementation 4.1.1. Trends from the AD-Driving roadmap of Top Premium OEMs up to 2025
4.2. AD technology roadmap: key ADAS features and sensor set
4.4. L4-Full automation and Level 5
4.5. European car sales forecast 2017-2021
5. ADAS & Automated Driving outlook by leading OEM (29 pages)
5.2. VWGroup: Porsche and Bentley
5.3. VW Group: VW and Skoda
5.4. BMW Group
5.11. Hyundai and Genesis
5.12. Nissan-Renault-Mitsubishi Alliance & Infiniti
5.13. Toyota Motors: Lexus and Toyota
5.17. FCA: Alfa Romeo & Jeep 5.18. Geely
5.19. Great Wall
6. Appendix (8 pages)
6.1. Supporting information for other OEMs’ AD roadmap
6.2. Model availability by level of automation in Europe, 2015-2025
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